For those who find my posts to be a tldr, read that letter, it is worth your time
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writing a paper atm so I don't have time to respont to scissors and $layer yet but I found this post ripe for fodder
Nub_DanishYou don't get to be a billionaire by making bad business decisions
First of all, we have no verifiable way to know that Donald Trump is a billionaire. Second of all, it's a lot easier to make it despite many bad business decisions when your daddy is covering for you at every point in your adult life:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/fact-checker/wp/2016/03/03/trumps-false-claim-he-built-his-empire-with-a-small-loan-from-his-father/?postshare=6111474938786594&tid=ss_tw
Of course, this doesn't really tell us anything about his policies, just his business acumen, which I don't really give a shit about. It's the pro-Trump crowd, however, that is trying to make it into a positive for him, with no evidence that it would be a solid predictor of his ability to do an entirely different job. I mean, he's spent his entire life with no obligation to do anything to benefit any person other than himself and his immediate family, and is running for public office where he's supposed to fight for the people, it's not really equivalent.
Nub_Danishspending 10 times more to produce something is a bad business decision.
dollarlayerI'm not sure if you are correctly understanding the difference between product development cost and production/manufacturing cost. To be clear, I'm talking about $1000 vs $20,000 development cost aka R&D for a product which sells for $60. Actual manufacturing cost is $15 or so.
I used that as an example for why paying someone in the US to do R&D is not viable. If I paid the $20,000 to someone in the US for R&D, I may never recoup that money through sales, so it would never would have made sense to put the product into production and on the market.
I'm gonna put these two points together because I don't think either has really been satisfactorily addressed thus far. In a vacuum, you are both absolutely right. But by choosing such astronomical figures (10-1, 20-1) to explain how much cheaper manufacturing is in China, for instance, you're invalidating your own argument. Businesses are profit-driven machines that operate based upon incentives. No matter how much tariffs, for instance, affect the cost of outsourcing manufacturing to China, they will continue to do so unless the tariffs are so unbelievably astronomical that they can offset that literal 10-1, 20-1 difference that you are talking about. This is impossible, and even attempting it will just piss off the Chinese while bringing insignificant jobs back to the US.
Nub_DanishPeople seem to dislike trump because hes against free trade because the usa is losing out in a free market against places that can produce things much cheaper
I am opposed to pure free trade as well, though for mostly pretty different reasons, but the U.S. is losing out in a free market because it is competing with 2nd and 3rd world countries with wages so much lower than the median here that labor will be astronomically cheaper no matter what we do. In light of that, why not focus more on keeping quality of life good for the unemployed and underemployed, raising the minimum wage for those stuck in entry-level jobs, and focus on college and vocational education so that, while the manufacturing sector will never recover (both due to outsourcing and automation), Americans can continue to succeed in other areas?
Nub_Danishhe talks constantly about imposing tarifs to help the us work force.
I pointed out already that this would have basically no effect, and that Donald Trump is living in a fantasy land. But don't take my word for it, here is a letter signed by many economists explaining that Donald Trump is living in a fantasy land:
http://www.npr.org/2016/11/01/500264332/economists-warn-trump-promotes-magical-thinking-and-conspiracy-theories
http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/EconomistLetter11012016.pdf
ScissorsTrump is anti globalism, and his taxcuts and economic policies are there to make sure that outsourcing for cheap labour is a thing of the past, and that new factories and businesses will operate in america. The elites are pushing globalism because it benefits them and fucks everyone else over, but they have managed to convince a good chunk of the people that virtue-signalling is more important than jobs and national health. The poor and minorities will benefit tenfold from actually being employed over getting handouts or being able to buy a cheap iPhone made with slave-labour.
People responded to your other 'points' so I will mainly address this.
I want to dispel the myth that corporations fled the U.S. because of taxes and regulations. They fled because corporations are frankenstein entities designed to increase their profits no matter what, and so they naturally move to 3rd world countries where the labor laws and average wages are so shit that there is absolutely no way we could ever match them. All tax cuts to the wealthy do is limit the spending money of the middle class, which is what actually powers our economy, and keep them in debt and unable to climb the economic ladder through higher education, sustainable home ownership, etc. Real wages have been suppressed in the U.S. for decades now.
This is not all theoretical. Manufacturing declined mainly in the 70s and the 80s in the U.S. Reaganomics did not stem the bleeding, but it did vastly increase the income/wealth inequality in our country and triple our deficit.
If there is one element of Trump's platform that I agree with, it is certain aspects of his protectionism, such as opposing the TPP and being heavily critical of NAFTA. This is also true of almost all true progressive candidates, so I don't really see why that has to be bundled with his tax policy and deregulations (not to mention his ludicrous statements about forcing other countries to pay more for protection or whatever).
When Trump is anti-globalist, it is for the benefit of US corporations over their rivals, not because he actually seeks to bring jobs back. Everyone with any understanding of economics realizes that those jobs are gone, and assuring that the ones we still have provide people with a decent standard of living is more important.
Lastly, I'd like to take a closer look at a particular sentence of yours, because I think it's very telling.
ScissorsThe poor and minorities will benefit tenfold from actually being employed over getting handouts or being able to buy a cheap iPhone made with slave-labour.
First of all, conservatives have created a rhetoric false dichotomy between employment and handouts. Most of the people on welfare, food stamps, living in public housing, etc. are fully or partially employed, but a minimum wage job is not a living wage in this country. I have never seen the assertion that raising the minimum wage would lead to greater unemployment actually borne out in reality, it's just a myth created to support the ability of corporations to do whatever they want, from the side of the aisle that believes that people in entry-level menial jobs don't really 'deserve' to live off of them without climbing the ladder, even if doing so is not possible.
There is a reason why unemployment vastly decreased under the social programs of Bill Clinton and Barack Obama, and increased under both Bush administrations, and it has a lot to do with tax policy creating a surplus for everyone, because the middle class stimulates the economy much more efficiently than the wealthy.
Lastly, I resent the notion that 'handouts' are just some sort of meager, temporary respite from poverty on the level of a distraction like an iphone. Social programs benefit all of society in the long run, by bolstering the working poor and enabling social mobility in the next generations. When we cut such programs, we ensure that every cent that a working class person makes has to go towards food, clothing, rent, etc., rather than education or savings.
fade-trump's policies are on his site
why read them on sites and argue about whether or not they're biased when they're all on https://www.donaldjtrump.com/policies/
probably because one of the arguments against him is that he himself doesn't know what he's talking about and constantly changes his policies depending on however he's feeling on any given day
there's a reason why people think the BEST case scenario with a trump presidency is that he'll pawn everything off to pence and his cabinet and it'll be just another republican administration (which the policies on his website largely align with)
they're almost all awful btw
Nub_DanishSpaceCadetall the nukes is just a meme way of saying they're a nuclear superpower and they have more nukes than the usaNub_DanishI mean it's not just him whos said it obama and pretty much every high ranking person has said this. And i don't understand the logic behind everyone thinking trump would bring about world war 3 he's said he wants to have a friendlier relation with russia (its not really a world war without russia they got all the nukes) and I haven't heard anything that would start a war from him other than his plans to stop isis.
They don't have "all the nukes" and building more Nuclear Weapons at this point is meaningless on a strategic level. I believe building more Nuclear Weapons is more careless than anything else because just creating the weapon means it can fall into the wrong hands. Nobody wins in a nuclear war and tactical nuclear strikes are completely out of the question for major powers. You cannot win a Nuclear war on a first strike basis because:
Both sides have the ultimate deterrent that would guarantee mutual destruction. We have our 14+ Ohio class submarines lurking in the water with 24 Trident Missiles and the Russians have Typhoon and Borei class subs with comparable armament. That much silent and hidden nuclear power is more than enough to destroy the whole planet.
That's a myth, our nuclear capabilities are still greater than Russia's and will be for many years to come
ScissorsEven if you dislike or disagree with Trump, surely you can see that this is a once-in-a-lifetime chance to rip out the entire corrupt and broken system by it's roots and start over? Trump is going to end career politicians and big money in politics, that alone makes him a better candidate than the Goldman Sachs puppet alternative in my mind.
As much as I despise money in politics, this is such an over-simplified way of looking at things that it's ridiculous.
I want to get rid of money in politics so that the rich and powerful's influence over policy is less disproportionate than it is now. Donald Trump is one of those rich and powerful people. From a policy standpoint, he would make Goldman Sachs happier than even the most puppet-like version of a Hillary Clinton administration.
Clinton is a pragmatist and compromiser which, in my opinion, leads her astray of the true progressives in her party. Nonetheless, she will make some concessions to them, particularly in areas of tax policy and social programs (and maybe a bit in regulations as well, though not nearly as much as she should). Donald Trump advances policies that help him and hurt the little guy, regardless of popular consensus.
I want to change the establishment as much as the next guy, and that's why I will put every Clinton policy decision under a microscope as soon as she is elected, and seek to primary her out in 2020. I will not sacrifice the poor and the minorities in our country for 4-8 years just to prove a point.
dollarlayer@ #859, I appreciate your attempt to try to continue to debate me after I believe I said I wasn't interested in reviewing your last lengthy post. This one is also TLDR, and honestly I didn't even read 1 full sentence of it. You are not going to convince me of anything. And I don't want to waste any time reading your propaganda filled post. There are plenty of websites out there dedicated to opposing mainstream climate change/global warming propaganda. My opinion: The climate has always changed, will continue to change, regardless of human activity. Human's are responsible for such a small part of "global warming" that its not even a significant factor, and there are far bigger concerns than global warming to worry about such as the pollution of our air, water, oceans and deforestation. It's hyped up for money and political gain. And I'll leave it at that. Please, spend some spare time viewing sources that oppose mainstream views, then make up your own mind.
rofl I am impressed you managed to turn your computer on and get your internet working
please tell me you don't believe in evolution either
Nub_Danishmustardoverlordif you think we're gonna end up in a true (non-cold) war with russia over assad in 2016, after about 70 years of various antagonistic actions towards pro-russian regimes in the middle east, I don't know what to tell youI don't know what kind of war would be entailed, all i know is that the united states marine corps general says that to enforce it it would mean going to war with syria and russia.
i'd be a lot more worried with hillary killing a lot of innocent syrian civilians, or assad's removal leading to a power vacuum that isis wins, if anything
It's true that the chairman of the joint chiefs of staff said that, but there is no requirement for me to agree with him
The bottom line is, Hillary's foreign policy is pretty neo-conservative and by far the worst element of her platform, I'm not challenging that
I just think that painting her as the MORE likely candidate to start WWIII is pretty disingenuous
dflame is a fragile 36 year old father of 2 please leave him alone
if you think we're gonna end up in a true (non-cold) war with russia over assad in 2016, after about 70 years of various antagonistic actions towards pro-russian regimes in the middle east, I don't know what to tell you
i'd be a lot more worried with hillary killing a lot of innocent syrian civilians, or assad's removal leading to a power vacuum that isis wins, if anything
what the fuck am I reading
im a smart bot tho!!
bearodactylmaev is deffo better than screwb and fab lol
his rankings come immediately after a scrim where me and maev got rekt