i've been on this forums since October 11, 2012
and worked hard for my 4 stars, i finally managed to get them and some cunt admin enables the thing that adjusts your stars to your downvotes.

i doubt anyone will care but it kinda pisses me off. especially since i don't know who it is.
-fuck off slimey worm
-sincerely griff

Big stats post here for playoffs matches:
I've been running a program that grabs scrim/match logs throughout the season and predicts the chance of teams taking rounds off one another for the purposes of match prediction.

The system is pretty simple, using all of a team's match/scrim history this season, it looks at the ratios of rounds won/lost of each team against one another and tries to determine a score that could be loosely interpreted as a 'skill level' for each team. If team A has score a and team B has score b then the chance of team A winning a round follows a logistic curve: 1/(1+e^(b-a)). To illustrate this, look at the following graph:

https://i.imgur.com/nDSFI6S.png

This allows you to get a sense of not only what the ranking of teams might look like, but also how much better than the other teams they are.

As of posting this, the team scores look something like this:

https://i.imgur.com/0wVcOvY.png

This would indicate that there is a fair gap between the top 3 teams and the other teams in advanced. This correlates relatively well with teams' positions in RGL, the team that I find most noticeably different is MySpectrumWiFi98-5G who seem pretty under rated by this metric. This might be because of underperformance in scrims, or because the team improved later into the season (something this isn't trying to evaluate).

Because this model is based on rounds, it can predict the outcomes of future games. However, there's a big problem with this as for whatever reason, under the RGL format it pretty much always expects games to go to winlimit. (This is because it's based on historical round duration, and I suspect because longer rounds tend to be cut off by going to timelimit).

In any case, here are predictions for tonights 3 games, which as I post this are probably near the end of the 1st half anyway (I'm a bit late to post this).

https://i.imgur.com/9C0iRwx.png

https://i.imgur.com/QaAeSS5.png

https://i.imgur.com/iXz84be.png

In theory these would be different for different maps, just because of the round durations, but because of the winlimit thing, it doesn't make much of a difference which map I choose. The chance of winning a round is probably different for different teams, but I don't know if I can easily estimate this, as the problem goes from having 16 dimensions to 121.

excited for joe biden to kiss his running mate on the mouth for a full 30 seconds during his next rally.

yeah ur welcome lol

https://i.imgur.com/0CAIesH.png

How exactly did you get this working? I'd be pretty interested in automating doing the opposite (getting player ids associated with a team name).

Can we extend the beta weekends to be 7 days please

https://i.imgur.com/aQFCSkC.jpg

this guys playing tony hawks pro skater

It looks like the stuff I dont like about OW mixed with the stuff I dont like about CS.

Welcome to North American Team Fortress Two! Please choose your subclass, Nonce or Racist.

Game is really fun and well thought out, stuff like the hud editing gui is really cool. Don't expect it to live though.

Someone needs to sneak good movement mechanics and projectiles into whatever the next big fps trend is without it resembling quake otherwise. I feel like so many arena fps games are just way too similar and that's a big part of why they don't do well.

Not even close, a lot of the really early ETF2L bans were for extremely funny amounts of time. One of the first bans is a guy called Mario who got banned for 6 years for racism. I think the winner goes to this account that was banned for 97 years though:

https://i.imgur.com/CItczty.png

https://i.imgur.com/8ay0oKi.jpg