As we come into week 7 of ETF2L Spring 2024, only three teams know their fates. MANDEM have guaranteed themselves playoffs by winning 11 out of the 12 maps they have played, while wer das liest ist doof and GLOBAL YETI are too far down the table to have a chance at progressing. That leaves five teams with the opportunity to make playoffs, but for some this is more likely than others…
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Garda Panteri
Garda Panteri come into week 7 with playoffs an almost certainty. The only result combination that causes them to slip to 5th is if they lose 6-0 to /for fence, TLR beat MANDEM 6-0 and SKEDDA win precisely 5-1 against NANDEM.
/for fence
Although a playoffs spot is looking very likely for /for fence, there is still the chance their single point deduction may come back to bite them. Whilst a 2-4 loss or better is enough to guarantee a playoffs spot, they can sneak in with fewer points if other results go their way.
If /for fence lose 5-1, then they still qualify unless TLR win 6-0 and SKEDDA win either 5-1 or 6-0, or TLR win 5-1 and SKEDDA win 4-2.
If instead /for fence lose 6-0, their hopes mostly lie in the hands of MANDEM: if MANDEM tie with or beat TLR, they send /for fence to the playoffs. A 4-2 win for TLR also sends /for fence through, on the condition that the NANDEM vs SKEDDA game does not finish 3-3 or 6-0 to NANDEM. A 5-1 or 6-0 win for TLR would also qualify /for fence, as long as NANDEM win 4-2 or 5-1.
SKEDDA
SKEDDA are the lowest team in the division to still have their fate in their own hands. A 6-0 win against NANDEM would secure playoffs for them with no further questions asked, but a 5-1 or 6-0 defeat would eliminate them from contention.
A 5-1 win for SKEDDA is enough to qualify in all scenarios, except where TLR beat MANDEM 6-0 and /for fence score 2 to 5 points against Garda Panteri.
A 4-2 win is enough, as long as either Garda Panteri win 5-1 or 6-0, or MANDEM score at least 2 points against TLR.
A tie is also enough if Garda Panteri beat /for fence 6-0, or MANDEM beat TLR.
Finally, a 4-2 loss can also be enough for SKEDDA if MANDEM beat TLR, but if the MANDEM vs. TLR game is tied then SKEDDA also qualify as long as /for fence and GLOBAL YETI both win their games 6-0.
The Last Resort
Nothing less than of a draw against league leaders MANDEM will be enough for a shot at retaining their ETF2L crown, but unfortunately even if TLR score all six points available, they will still be at the mercy of other results.
Should they tie 3-3 with MANDEM, they can only qualify if NANDEM beat SKEDDA precisely 4-2 and at least one of Garda Panteri and wer das liest ist doof avoids 6-0 defeat in their respective games.
A 4-2 win for TLR is is only enough if NANDEM avoid defeat against SKEDDA.
A 5-1 win for TLR will qualify them, but only if either NANDEM score at least 2 points against SKEDDA or Garda Panteri beat /for fence 6-0.
Finally a 6-0 win would also be enough to qualify unless SKEDDA win 6-0 and /for fence score at least 2 points against Garda Panteri.
NANDEM
NANDEM require at least 5 points from their game against SKEDDA to have a chance at playoffs, and even then it isn't guaranteed.
A 5-1 win will qualify them so long as MANDEM beat TLR by any score.
A 6-0 win will also ensure NANDEM’s qualification in the case that MANDEM beat TLR by any score... but if TLR win 5-1 or 4-2, NANDEM can still qualify as long as Garda Panteri beat /for fence 6-0. However, if TLR win 6-0 NANDEM can still qualify if and only if Garda Panteri win 6-0 and GLOBAL YETI score at least one point against wer das liest ist doof.
Six weeks of intense competition have led us to this maelstrom; tune in to twitch.tv/EssentialsTF to catch the action.