Agree completely with magic that administratively the non AC side has been handled sub-optimally.
There is a lot to unpack in this statement as a whole but I wanted to focus on one part here:
exaQ: Why does the RGL AC team have concerns about public evidence tipping off suspects? How long can these cases take?
A: Anti-cheat cases may take many months to acquire the necessary evidence to justify a ban where there is 100% confidence in the conclusions.
This may be a hot take, but I really do not think the 100% confidence threshold is a desirable goal. I understand that exa is just speaking colloquially here, but the amount of evidence one would need to go from, say, 95% -> "100%" confidence is probably several magnitudes more than going from like 50% -> 90%. In many situations it's probably not even possible; imagine you have cheating parameters a and k where a is the number of times you cheat per demo (such as the number of times you toggle triggerbot for an important flank) and k is the average number of demos in which you cheat (where k = 1 means you cheat in every demo). For a and k sufficiently small, maybe like a = 2 and k=1/5 (not too unrealistic for somebody cheating on a top team with only a couple hard matches per regular season), and assuming each instance of cheating is not super blatant, are you really ever going to reach this so called "100%" confidence threshold? I feel like this does not converge even asymptotically as the total number of demos n increases.
I don't know what the right % cutoff should be, it's all arbitrary in the end at a certain point. But I think the situation of "hey we're like 98% sure this guy is cheating and ruining the league right now buuuuuuuuuuut that's not 100%" would be pretty silly if that's how it currently is.
I think this standard especially in the elijah case has really contributed towards the recent animosity. Recall that elijah already had a previous cheating ban and was, at least in my eyes and many others, cheating pretty blatantly. And yet it still took 2+ months to ban them. Assume this is because of the extremely stringent standard RGL AC imposes. What kind of lesson am I, a player, supposed to take from that? How long would it take for a cheater with no previous cheating history who is cheating like half as blatantly to get caught? How many matches, playoffs, seasons would they ruin? Why would I want to play in a league like that?
The alternative explanation of course is that AC is simply overtaxed, which is fair we all live busy lives. But still I would hope that cheater priority is at least skewed top heavy, sorry to those in newcomer.