and the other playoff deciding match (War & Sons vs Generation karnax) would be played at the same time.
Out of 49 possible results to both matches, 22 say top5rocket go to playoffs, 15 say Ora Elektro go to playoffs, 6 say War & Sons would advance, 3 present a tiebreaker between War and top5 for which every scenario results with War having a higher tiebreaker score, and another 3 present a tiebreaker between War and Ora which is much closer and heavily influenced by the 2 other matches.
If both matches are 6-0 for ORA and War:
Let's assume Faint 6-0's Ascent and Se7en 6-0's Goonsquad, the tie scores would be about 6.30952 for ORA and about 6.13888889 for War, for every point ascent takes from Faint, this gap would close by about 0.130952, and for every point Goonsquad takes from 7, the gap would close by about 0.06746, meaning War would need Ascent to take 2 points, or for them to take 1 point and for Goonsquad to take another, or for Goonsquad to take at least three points by themselves.
If both matches are 5-1 for ORA and War:
Same assumptions, everything is the same but War's "original" tie score is about 6.19444444, and ORA's is about 5.47619 , meaning War would win this tiebreaker regardless of the other matches.
If both matches are 4-2 for ORA and War:
Same assumptions, we can see a similar trend with the updated "original" tiebreaker scores, meaning War would win this tiebreaker regardless of the other matches.
tl;dr There are 49 possible outcomes of these 2 matches, in 22 of them top5rocket get to advance their trenches another inch, in 15 of them Ora Elektro shocks the crowd and go into playoffs, in 11 of them War & Sons keep waging further S33, and the last possibility splits into another 49 and out of them 4 hold Ora Elektro's last spark of hope while the rest give War & Sons more supplies to keep going.
How many did we win? One.
(i might miscalculated something and this probably doesn't matter as it seems Ascent woke up since week 1 and won't lose to anyone that isn't Faint or Se7en)
(why did I even put a tl;dr it doesn't even shorten anything)
EDIT: if every possibility has an equal chance of occuring then top5rocket have a 44.9% chance to reach playoffs, Ora Elektro have a 30.8% chance, and War & Sons have a 24.3% chance to reach it
2nd EDIT: Here's a chart to help visualize what are the possibilities; https://imgur.com/HTc6EHJ
3rd EDIT: War & Sons get an even better tiebreaker score because I forgot to add Ascent's score 6 from last week's match, sorry for miss leading, that one possibility is also a WAR win.